Will home prices rise in 2010?

balance Will home prices rise in 2010?Two home price forecasts for 2010 came out this week. One predicts prices will rise. One predicts they will fall.

First American Core Logic predicts prices will rise.

From The Orange County register Calif. house prices projected to jump 7.9%

U.S. house prices will stop falling in March and are projected to be up 4.6% by August 2010, Santa Ana-based data cruncher First American CoreLogic predicted. In California, the rate of appreciation will be even higher: up 7.9% from this past August.

If true, California will have the nation’s third-highest appreciation rate, trailing Maine (projected to be up 12.1%) and New Hampshire (up 11.6%).

Florida’s appreciation rate is projected to be number four in the nation at 7.3% next August.

Fiserv predicts prices will continue to fall.

CNN Money reports Homes: About to get much cheaper

Home values are predicted to drop in 342 out of 381 markets during the next year, according to a new forecast of real estate prices.

Overall, the national median home price is predicted to drop 11.3% by June 30, 2010, according to Fiserv, a financial information and analysis firm. For the following year, the firm anticipates some stabilization with prices rising 3.6%.

In fact, those areas with high concentrations of foreclosure sales will experience the steepest drops, according to Fiserv. Miami, for example, is expected to be the biggest loser. Prices are forecast to plunge 29.9% by next June — after having already fallen a whopping 48% during the past three years.

If Fiserv’s forecast holds, Miami real median home price will tumble to $142,000 by June 2011.

In Orlando, Fla., the second-worst performing market, Fiserv anticipates a 27% price collapse by June 2010, followed by a less severe drop the following year. In Hanford, Calif., prices are estimated to drop 26.9% and continue falling 9.5% in 2011; in Naples, Fla., they’re expected to fall 26.8% and then flatten out.

Other notable losers include Las Vegas, where prices have already fallen 54.6% and are expected to lose another 23.9% by June 2010. In Phoenix values have already collapsed by 54% and could fall another 23.4%. In both cities, Fiserv anticipates the losses to continue into 2011, but they will be less than 5%.

The nation’s biggest metro area, New York City, will underperform the nation as a whole over the next two years, according to Fiserv. Prices, which have already fallen 21.7% to a median of $375,000, are expected to fall 17.4% by June 2011.

Home values in the nation’s second largest city, Los Angeles, have fallen 43.3% since June 2006 to a median of $313,000. They are expected to dive another 20.2% over by June 2010, and then start to climb in 2011. Chicago prices, which have fallen 25.2% to $227,000, will drop only 4.1% over the next 12 months and then starting to climb.

Clearly, Fiserv is expecting more an increase in foreclosure activity while First American Core Logic is anticipating that the Government will prevent the backlog of foreclosures from hitting the market.

This entry was posted in Macro Trends and Analysis and tagged , on by .

Free Updates!


Greg Fielding

Contact Info:

Real Estate Agent

925-212-2908

gregpfielding@gmail.com

Skype: gregfielding

http://gregfielding.com

J. Rockcliff Realtors

15 Railroad Avenue

Danville, CA 94526

DRE #:01397948

Connect With Me:


About Greg Fielding

I am a longtime real estate agent who has pretty much seen it all during the housing boom as bust. With experience in selling high-end property and low-end foreclosures, raw land, short sales, development work, apartment buildings, and working with investors, I bring a well-rounded perspective to my work.I also have started to do some paid real estate consulting. If you have questions or just need some good real estate advice, book an appointment at http://whattodorealestate.com/In addition to selling real estate, my insights have been featured in The New York Times, The Big Picture, and regularly on Patrick.net. I have also done consulting work with ForeclosureRadar.Starting my career, in 2003, I have sold homes throughout Alameda and Contra Costa counties, specializing in Danville, Alamo, Blackhawk, San Ramon, Dublin, Pleasanton, Walnut Creek, Lafayette, and Orinda. I live in Danville with my three kids.


Read All posts by

One thought on “Will home prices rise in 2010?

Leave a Reply